Grain Highlights 13.08.2024

According to a StoneX forecast, Brazil's soybean production in 2024/25 will be 165 million tons, setting a new record for the country (149 million tons in 2023/24).

- In July, just over 1 million tons of sunseed were processed in Ukraine, a 10% decrease compared to June. In the first 11 months of the season, processing reached 14.4 million tons, the highest level in the past 4 seasons. For the entire 2023/24 year, processing is expected to be 15.2 million tons, a 7% increase compared to the previous estimate and a 9% increase compared to the previous season.

- In the 2023/24 season, a record 420,000 tons of rapeseed oil were exported from Ukraine.

- The French Ministry of Agriculture forecasts that the 2024/25 soft wheat production in the country will be 25.2 million tons, the lowest level in the last 40 years, a 25% decrease compared to 2023/24 and a 27% decrease compared to the five-year average.

- According to a StoneX forecast, Brazil's soybean production in 2024/25 will be 165 million tons, setting a new record for the country (149 million tons in 2023/24). Exports are expected to be 102 million tons (92 million tons), which would also set a new record—the previous record was 101.87 million tons in 2022/23. In July, Brazil exported a record 11.2 million tons of soybeans, a 16% increase.

- According to data from Safras & Mercado, as of August 9, 2024, the corn harvesting campaign in Brazil has been completed on 92.6% of the planted areas, totaling 14.71 million hectares. In Paraná, the harvesting campaign has been completed on 89.4% of the area, and in Mato Grosso, on 98.8%. A year earlier, 70.8% of 15.47 million hectares had been harvested, with an average of 59.8% over the past five years.

- As of August 11, 2024, 93% of the winter wheat acreage in the United States had been harvested, according to USDA data (91% in 2023 and 91% on average over the past five years). Spring wheat has been harvested on 18% of the acreage (20% and 21%).

- According to a forecast by Anec, Brazil will export 1.961 million tons of soymeal in August (2.011 million tons in July and 1.925 million tons in August 2023).

- As of August 1, 2024, China's grain reserves stood at 5.83 million tons (5.94 million tons a year earlier). Wheat reserves were 5.57 million tons (5.01 million tons), including 3.75 million tons of milling wheat.

- According to MPOB data, at the end of July, palm oil stocks in Malaysia reached 1.73 million tons, a 5.35% decrease from June. In July, exports increased by 40% to 1.69 million tons. Production reached 1.84 million tons, a 14% increase.

- Algeria has announced a tender for the purchase of at least 50,000 tons of durum wheat with delivery in October-November. In the past week, approximately 700,000 tons of soft wheat were purchased.